BRIDGE REPORT
(9997)

東証1部

Bridge Report:(9997)Belluna Fiscal Year March 2019

ブリッジレポートPDF

 

 

 

President & CEO

Kiyoshi Yasuno

Belluna Co., Ltd. (9997)

 

Company Information

Market

TSE 1st Section

Industry

Retail (commerce)

President and CEO

Kiyoshi Yasuno

HQ Address

4-2 Miyamoto-cho, Ageo-shi, Saitama

Year-end

End of March

Homepage

https://www.belluna.co.jp/

 

Stock Information

Share Price

Number of Shares Issued

Total Market Cap

ROE (Actual)

Trading Unit

¥732

97,244,472 shares

71,182 million

10.8%

100 shares

DPS (Est.)

Dividend Yield (Est.)

EPS (Est.)

PER (Est.)

BPS (Actual)

PBR (Actual)

¥16.00

2.2%

¥107.99

6.8x

¥1,028.56

0.7x

*The share price is the closing price on June 20.
*Number of Shares Issued, ROE, DPS, EPS and BPS are actual results of the FY 3/19.

 

Earning trends

Fiscal Year

Net Sales

Operating Income

Net Income

Net Income

EPS

DPS

March 2015 (Actual)

120,689

6,376

10,052

6,394

65.77

12.50

March 2016 (Actual)

131,742

8,366

7,105

3,544

36.45

12.50

March 2017 (Actual)

146,083

10,882

12,188

5,802

59.68

12.50

March 2018 (Actual)

161,673

13,008

13,248

9,665

99.41

12.50

March 2019 (Actual)

177,648

12,005

15,309

10,343

106.39

15.00

March 2020 (Forecast)

185,000

14,000

15,000

10,500

107.99

16.00

* Unit: Million yen
*Net income is profit attributable to owners of parent. Hereinafter the same shall apply.

 

This report outlines Belluna, the financial results for the term ended March 2019 and management policy and activities of the fourth management plan, etc.

Table of Contents

Key Points
1.Company Overview
2.Fiscal Year March 2019 Earnings Results
3.Fiscal Year March 2020 Earnings Estimates
4.Reflecting on the third management plan
5.The fourth management plan: Management policy and activities
6.Conclusions
<Reference: Regarding Corporate Governance>

 

Key Points

  • The sales for the term ended March 2019 were 177.6 billion yen, up by 9.9% year-on-year, led by the Specialty Mail Order and Retail Store Sales businesses. The sales of the General Mail Order business declined. Operating income was 12 billion yen, down by 7.7% year-on-year. The Specialty Mail Order business increased profit, but operating income fell due to the increase in distribution and medium costs, M&A-related expenses, etc. Ordinary income was 15.3 billion yen, up 15.6% year-on-year thanks to the contribution of gain on valuation of derivatives. Both sales and profit were below their respective estimates.

     

  • It is estimated that sales will grow by 4.1% year on year to 185 billion yen and operating income will rise 16.6% year on year to 14 billion yen. Sales are expected to increase in all segments, except for the General Mail Order business. Profit is expected to decrease for the General Mail Order business due to catalog paper costs, while profit is expected to increase in all other segments, particularly the Specialty Mail Order and Retail Store Sales, and the Property business. The dividend amount is estimated at 16.00 yen per share, up by 1.0 yen per share from the previous term. Payout ratio is estimated at 14.8%.

     

  • In the third management plan ended by the term ended March 2019, target sales and ROE were achieved 1 year ahead. However, the target operating income was not achieved.

     

  • After achieving record-high sales and profit in the third management plan, the company will incorporate changes in the external environment in the fourth management plan, and promote expanding and strengthening its 4 main businesses through “the stable growth of General Mail Order business,” “expansion of the Specialty Mail Order business,” “expansion and profitability improvements of the Retail Store Sales business ,” and “ expansion of the Property business, particularly profitable hotels.” The company will aim for revising upwardly estimates, while laying the groundwork to steadily achieve its goals, which are achieving sales of 220 billion yen, an operating income of 20 billion yen, ROE of 10% or more in the term ending March 2022, the final year of the management plan.

     

  • Looking at the results of only the term ended March 2019, the sales and profit of the General Mail Order business decreased due to the change in the external environment such as the increase in shipping costs, and the company did not achieve the target sales or operating income. However, looking at the last 3 years of the third management plan, the company has been steadily showing results such as achieving the target sales and ROE 1 year ahead, strengthening the network of General Mail Order business, and rapidly growing the Specialty Mail Order. In the fourth management plan, we would like to pay attention to how the company implements business policies while conditions are against the core General Mail Order business, and the progress of expanding the Specialty Mail Order business overseas, which is expected to outperform the General Mail Order business in profit and become the cash cow for the company.

     

1.Company Overview

Belluna is a leading general catalog retailer. In addition to the mail-order business specializing in some genres, this company operates the Retail Store Sales Business, the Solution Business for providing corporations with its know-how and infrastructure that have been nurtured through its mail-order business, and so on. Its strengths and characteristics include a database of customers who are mainly married women, and stable profitability and growth potential based on portfolio management. It also conducts M&A actively.

 

1-1 Corporate History

In 1968, Mr. Kiyoshi Yasuno, who is currently the representative director and president of the company, started the business of selling seals door-to-door under the name of “Yukado.” Then, starting with the mail-order sale of clothes, the company started dealing in food products, cosmetics, etc. While operating the Specialty Mail Order Business, the company has enriched its business portfolio, including the Finance Business, Property Business, Retail Store Sales Business, Solution Business, etc. targeted at mail-order customers. In March 2000, the company was listed on the first section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange. Belluna actively conducts M&As to fortify the business base.

 

1-2 Management Philosophy

◎Management Philosophy

Origin of our business

To contribute to our customers’ lifestyle and happiness, by taking an international perspective to be the first company to provide a wide range of customers across the nation with an abundance of food, clothing, lifestyle and recreational products and services, with superior systems and planning for improved convenience, economy, fashion and assortment.

Ideal employees of our company

Our employees approach challenges with a cheerful and positive attitude, to do whatever possible to proactively improve customer satisfaction and broaden their abilities, in order to always maintain the confidence of our customers.

Ideal state of our company

We aim to develop overwhelming superiority as we compete with other companies in the areas of food, clothing, lifestyle and recreational goods and services, and with an image of stability, growth, continuity, and profitability to become an excellent company that attracts capable personnel and makes a contribution to society.

 

In addition, Belluna set “Basic Mind,” which describes the mindset of Belluna’s employees, and “Basic Action,” which is a code of conduct. Basic Mind, which is composed of “the awareness as a party involved,” “the awareness of profit,” “a sense of playing a game,” “positive thinking,” and “the willingness to grow,” and Basic Action, which is composed of “use of others,” etc., are what the employees of Belluna should return back to when facing a challenging problem.

 

1-3 Market Environment

According to “Commercial Statistics Table in 2014—Statistics for each business category (retail)” announced by the Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry on March 9, 2016, the annual sales of products via mail order, catalogs, and the Internet amount to 3.9 trillion yen.
Detailed statistics have not been checked, but it seems that the catalog retail market has recently shrunk 1-2%, as competitors in the general mail-order field suffered a significant drop in sales while the online shopping market has grown rapidly.
Amid this situation, the General Mail Order Business segment of Belluna, in which catalog retail accounts for 80% of total sales although it is concentrating on online shopping business, increased sales 4.5% in the term ended March 2018, achieving an annual sales growth rate of 4.3% in the past 3 years and expanding its market share steadily.

 

◎Comparison of major mail-order companies

Code

Corporate name

Sales

Sales growth rate

Operating income

Profit growth rate

Operating income ratio

ROE

Market

cap

PER

PBR

3092

ZOZO

136,000

+14.9%

32,000

+24.7%

23.5%

28.6%

592,747

25.8

25.8

4921

Fancl

131,000

+6.9%

15,000

+21.1%

11.5%

12.8%

377,633

34.1

5.8

4927

Pola Orbis HLD

241,000

-3.0%

40,500

+2.5%

16.8%

4.3%

708,030

26.8

3.7

8005

Scroll

75,000

+5.4%

1,900

+11.9%

2.5%

3.0%

12,186

9.2

0.6

8165

Senshukai

94,000

-17.1%

-700

-

-

-23.6%

13,997

2.0

0.3

9997

Belluna

185,000

+4.1%

14,000

+16.6%

7.6%

10.8%

75,267

7.2

0.8

* Unit: Million-yen, yen
*Sales and operating income are the values estimated by the company for this term.
*ROE is the actual result of the previous term.
*Market Cap, PER and PBR are the values calculated from the closing prices on June 12, 2019.

 

Compared with Scroll and Senshukai, which are competitors in the general mail-order field, Belluna has large sales and market cap, and high profit ratio and capital efficiency.

 

1-4 Business Contents

(1)Segments
Belluna operates seven business segments: General Mail Order Business, which is its core business, Specialty Mail Order Business, Retail Store Sales Business, Solution Business, Finance Business, Property Business, and Other Business. The General Mail Order and Specialty Mail Order businesses account for about 70% of total sales.

 

 

(Produced by Investment Bridge with reference to the material of Belluna.)

 

(Produced by Investment Bridge with reference to the material of Belluna)

 

①General Mail Order Business
◎Outline
The company receives orders for and sells apparel, fashion goods, interior accessories, etc. via catalogs, flyers, and the Internet.

 

(Major catalogs)

(Taken from the website of Belluna)

 

◎Attributes of subscribers
As of the end of March 2019, the number of subscribers is about 19.6 million, and married women in their 40s or older account for about 80% of them.
The subscribers aged 65 to 69 years, who are major married women, make up 32.5% of the population of this age group in Japan, indicating an overwhelming market share.

(Taken from the reference material of the company)

 

The number of loyal subscribers, who are defined as subscribers who have purchased products within 2 years after registration, was 5.18 million in the term ended March 2019.
Despite some fluctuations, it is steadily increasing.

 

(Produced by Investment Bridge with reference to the material of Belluna)

 

Belluna employs about 70 merchandiser, and offers more fashionable products than leading supermarkets and women’s apparel shops. In addition, the company offers a variety of unrivaled catalogs targeted at customers in their 50s to 70s. Accordingly, it won overwhelming support from married women.
Customer segments
Female customer segments are divided into three ones: “Mrs” for customers in their 50s or older, “ Ranan” for customers in their 40s, and “ GeeRA(former Ryu-Ryu)” for customers in their 30s. The company offers products tailored for the preferences and needs of each age group.

 


(Produced by Investment Bridge with reference to the material of Belluna.)

 

◎Efforts for developing e-commerce
Catalogs are primary sales channels, but the company has been striving to promote online shopping in recent years, which results in the steadily growing ratio of EC sales.
For “GeeRA” targeted at customers in their 30s, the sales via e-commerce (EC) now account for over 60%.

 


(Produced by Investment Bridge with reference to the material of Belluna)

 

 

②Specialty Mail Order Business
By specializing in specific genres, the company adds characteristics to its product lineup, prices, and services. Therefore, the company can retain customers easily, and receive orders from repeat customers.

 

Main genre

Catalog/website

Outline

Food products, flowers, and wine

Belluna Gourmet

Belluna handles food products and flowers. In addition to the sale of individual products, it offers a “periodic distribution service” for delivering products to subscribers every month, a “gift service” for mid-summer gifts, and so on.

My Wine CLUB

Belluna directly imports wines that are rare in Japan, and won the largest share in the mail-order market for wine in Japan for 10 consecutive years (fiscal 2008 to fiscal 2017).

Cosmetics

Ozio

Belluna deals in cosmetics and supplements, such as facial washes, skin lotions, and milks, for which safety is pursued.

Nachulife

All-in-one cosmetics are mainly handled. Especially, the company offers products composed of mainly skin-friendly plant ingredients.

Supplements

Refre

Under the concept: “Tomorrow’s body, today’s body,” Belluna deals in healthy food products and supplements made from ingredients selected rigorously after many quality tests. In 2013, the company established Refre Laboratory, to secure the safety of food and the quality of products, prevent health hazards, and so on.

Mail order for nurses

Nursery

infirmière

Belluna operates “Nursery,” which offers products at reasonable prices, and “infirmière,” whose attractive features are its rich product lineup and collaborative products with other brands. It has an overwhelming share in the mail-order market for nurses.

 


(Produced by Investment Bridge with reference to the material of Belluna)

 

➂Retail Store Sales Business
Aiming for a synergistic effect between the mail-order, online, and physical store sales channels, the company is targeting customers who are unreachable by mail-order by placing kimono and apparel stores in shopping centers and shopping malls.

 

In Japanese clothing field, the company operates “BANKAN” and “Wamonoya,” which sell kimono and Japanese clothing-related products. In addition to them, Sagami Group Holdings Co., Ltd., a seller of jewelry and other goods, was reorganized into a consolidated subsidiary in Jun. 2018.

 

Sagami Group Holdings runs stores under the two brand names “Sagami" and “Tokyo Masuiwaya.” They possess abundant knowledge and know-how about kimono culture and how to handle kimono, and excel in helping customers get dressed.
Apparel stores BELLUNA offer casual clothes at low prices, targeted mainly at women in their 40s and 50s.
The store area is about 30 tsubo (≒ 100 m2) for Japanese clothing stores, and 80 to 100 tsubo (≒ 265 to 330 m2) for apparel stores. The Japanese clothing stores are highly profitable, because there is a high average spending per customer.
As of the end of March 2019, there were 86 Japanese clothing stores (not including Sagami and Tokyo Masuiwaya) and 75 apparel stores. The total number of stores was 161.


(Produced by Investment Bridge with reference to the material of Belluna)

 

④Solution Business
By utilizing the know-how and infrastructure that have been nurtured through the mail-order business for many years, Belluna offers the “service of enclosing promotional flyers” and the “mail-order agency service” to corporations.
In the service of enclosing promotional flyers, the company encloses the flyers, product samples, etc. of client companies with products and catalogs and ships them to customers, by utilizing its enormous customer database. It is possible to narrow down target customers according to the needs of client companies. Accordingly, client companies can expect effective sales promotion.

 

“The mail-order agency service” is to offer a series of functions, including the infrastructure and know-how of Belluna, to enterprises that sell products by mail order. Belluna comprehensively undertakes the tasks of managing stocks at distribution warehouses, operating call centers, and shipping products to customers.
Even enterprises that are starting the mail-order business do not need to prepare their own infrastructure, and they can offer products and services swiftly at low prices.

 

⑤Finance Business
It is a consumer finance business utilizing the database developed through the mail-order business.
The company mainly introduces loans to mail-order customers by enclosing flyers, etc. Since the company possesses the data of the past purchases and payments by customers, credibility is high and the balance of loan receivables is expanding steadily, while the percentage of credit losses is low compared with other companies.
Its profitability is high, partially because the cost for reeling in borrowers is low as mail-order customers are targeted.


(Produced by Investment Bridge with reference to the material of Belluna)

 

⑥Property Business
The company leases real estate, such as office buildings, operates hotels, and so on.

 

⑦Other Business
The company operates the wholesale business targeted at department stores and co-op shops, and the insurance business.

 

1-5 Characteristics and Strengths

➀Customer database and know-how mainly for married women, which have been nurtured through the mail-order business for about 40 years
As mentioned in the section of business contents, about 80% of over 19 million subscribers of Belluna are married women in their 40s or older.
Belluna’s female subscribers aged 65 to 69 years, who are dominant among married women, account for 32.5% of the population of this age group in Japan.

 

The competitive customer database and know-how, which have been developed through the mail-order business for about 40 years, are significant features that contribute to the creation of corporate value.
In the mail-order sale business, which is its mainstay, Belluna won strong support from married women by proposing products that can meet their needs based on the requests from customers, etc. grasped through sales and purchase activities and questionnaire surveys.
In the finance business, the company earn sales and profit stably by utilizing its database. In the solution business, the company creates new business opportunities by offering its customer database, know-how, and infrastructure.

 

➁Stable profitability and growth potential based on portfolio management
Another characteristic of Belluna is the business model called “portfolio management,” which actualizes stable growth potential and profitability by conducting business in a multifaceted manner while utilizing its managerial resources nurtured through the mail-order business.
Based on this business model, the company disperses the risks of changes in social situations and economic trends, allows each business to exert its strengths as a mainstay, brings out the synergy among businesses, and actualizes stable profitability and growth potential.

 

1-6 Shareholder Return

Belluna determines dividends while considering its business performance and strategic investments for mid-term growth. This term(FY3/20), the company plans to pay 16 yen/share, up 1 yen/share from the previous year.
The company has been implementing a shareholders’ benefit plan, and gives benefits twice a year to shareholders who hold 100 or more shares as of the end of March and the end of September every year. For the purposes of expressing gratitude to shareholders and deepening shareholders’ understanding, the company announced the enrichment of the shareholders’ benefit plan in November 2017, adding complimentary coupons that can be used in Belluna Net. There is no revision to the criteria for receiving shareholders’ benefits, the date of issuance of coupons, or their effective periods.

 

 

100 to 499 shares

500 to 999 shares

1,000 or more shares

Shareholders can choose any of the following:

“General mail-order coupon,”

“Coupon exclusively for online shopping,” and

“Belluna’s product (food product/wine)”

Worth 1,000 yen

Worth 3,000 yen

Worth 5,000 yen

Accommodation coupon of Urabandai Lake Resort

1 coupon

2 coupons

4 coupons

Accommodation coupon of Le Grand Kyu Karuizawa

1 coupon

1 coupon

1 coupon

*The accommodation coupon of Le Grand Kyu Karuizawa is distributed once a year (issued in early December).

 

 

 

 

1-7 ROE analysis

 

FY3/14

FY3/15

FY3/16

FY3/17

FY3/18

FY3/19

ROE (%)

10.0

8.4

4.4

7.0

10.9

10.8

Net Income Margin (%)

5.59

5.30

2.69

3.97

5.98

5.82

Total Asset Turnover (times)

1.02

0.85

0.84

0.86

0.86

0.87

Leverage (times)

1.75

1.85

1.97

2.06

2.12

2.13

 

In the term ended March 2019, due to the increase in the ratio of net income to sales, ROE consecutively exceeded 10% over 2 terms. The goal of the third management plan to achieve ROE of 8% or more was achieved 1 year ahead. The goal of the fourth management plan is to achieve ROE of 10% or more by the end of the final year of the plan in the term ending March 2022.

 

2.Fiscal Year March 2019 Earnings Results

(1)Consolidated Business Results

 

FY3/18

Ratio to sales

FY3/19

Ratio to sales

YoY

Ratio to estimates

Sales

161,673

100.0%

177,648

100.0%

+9.9%

-1.3%

Gross profit

89,897

55.6%

101,364

57.1%

+12.8%

-

SG&A expenses

76,889

47.6%

89,359

50.3%

+16.2%

+2.7%

Operating income

13,008

8.0%

12,005

6.8%

-7.7%

-20.0%

Ordinary income

13,248

8.2%

15,309

8.6%

+15.6%

-1.2%

Net income

9,665

6.0%

10,343

5.8%

+7.0%

-1.5%

*Unit: Million yen
*Net income is profit attributable to owners of parent.

 

Sales increased, and operating income declined, while ordinary income increased year on year.
Sales were 177.6 billion yen, up by 9.9% year-on-year, led by the Specialty Mail Order and Retail Store Sales businesses. The sales for the General Mail Order business declined.
Operating income was 12 billion yen, down by 7.7% year-on-year. The Specialty Mail Order business increased profit, but operating income fell due to the increase in distribution and medium costs, M&A-related expenses, etc. Ordinary income was 15.3 billion yen, up by 15.6% year-on-year thanks to the contribution of gain on valuation of derivatives. Both sales and profit were below their respective estimates.

 

(2)Trend of each segment

 

FY3/18

Composition

Ratio

FY3/19

Composition

Ratio

YOY

Ratio to estimates

Sales

 

 

 

 

 

 

General Mail Order Business

78,614

48.6%

77,603

43.7%

-1.3%

-7.6%

Specialty Mail Order Business

46,005

28.5%

47,852

26.9%

+4.0%

-5.1%

Retail Store Sales Business

14,265

8.8%

28,146

15.8%

+97.3%

+68.1%

Solution Business

6,112

3.8%

6,257

3.5%

+2.4%

-0.1%

Finance Business

3,457

2.1%

3,829

2.2%

+10.8%

-0.3%

Property Business

7,582

4.7%

8,072

4.5%

+6.5%

-35.5%

Other Business

6,511

4.0%

6,912

3.9%

+6.2%

-6.9%

Adjustments

-875

-

-1,026

-

-

-

Total

161,673

100.0%

177,648

100.0%

+9.9%

-1.3%

Operating income

 

 

 

 

 

 

General Mail Order Business

4,263

5.4%

3,816

4.9%

-10.5%

-12.4%

Specialty Mail Order Business

2,662

5.8%

3,260

6.8%

+22.5%

-12.1%

Retail Store Sales Business

1,157

8.1%

1,000

3.6%

-13.6%

-1.0%

Solution Business

2,370

38.8%

2,272

36.3%

-4.1%

-1.3%

Finance Business

1,567

45.3%

1,759

45.9%

+12.3%

+0.6%

Property Business

1,036

13.7%

244

3.0%

-76.4%

-86.0%

Other Business

220

3.4%

237

3.4%

+7.7%

-41.5%

Adjustments

-270

-

-586

-

-

-

Total

13,008

8.0%

12,005

6.8%

-7.7%

-20.0%

*Unit: Million yen
*The composition ratio of income means the ratio of income to sales.

 

◎General Mail Order Business
Sales and profit declined.
Sales decreased due to postponing of the catalog’s issuance, etc. Furthermore, profit fell due to increased shipping fees and medium costs. Both sales and profit were below their respective estimates.

 

◎Specialty Mail Order Business
Sales and profit grew.
The sales in the cosmetics business and the mail-order business targeting nurses were favorable. The profit increased thanks to the improved profitability in the healthy food product business (refre) and the mail-order business targeting nurses. Both sales and profit were below their respective estimates.

 

◎Retail Store Sales Business
Sales grew and profit decline.
Sales increased thanks to the consolidation of Sagami Group Holdings Co., Ltd., however, profit decreased because of the expenses associated with the opening of new stores, etc. Sales exceeded the estimates, while profit did not.

 

◎Solution Business
Sales grew and profit declined.
The performance of the service in enclosing promotional flyers was sluggish due to reduction of the transactions with major clients. However, the mail-order agency service has performed well and sales increased. On the other hand, profit decreased due to the upfront investments, etc. to launch the re-employment support service targeting nurses.
Both sales and profit were below their respective estimates.

 

◎Finance Business
Sales and profit rose.
The balance of loan receivables in the domestic consumer finance business increased. Sales was below its estimates, while profit exceeded it.

 

◎Property Business
Sales grew and profit declined.
While sales increased thanks to the opening of new hotels, profit decreased because of the expenses associated with starting the business operations.
Both sales and profit were below their respective estimates.

 

◎Other Business
Sales and profit rose.
Sales of the wholesale business grew, but both sales and profit fell short of estimates.

 

(3)Financial Condition and Cash Flows

◎Main BS

 

End of March 2018

End of March 2019

 

End of March 2018

End of March 2019

Current assets

89,989

99,244

Current liabilities

42,331

53,463

Cash and deposits

22,747

22,071

Trade payables

18,381

17,093

Trade receivable

10,009

9,739

Short-term interest-bearing debts

7,652

14,368

Inventories

19,227

22,319

Noncurrent liabilities

60,556

59,790

Noncurrent assets

105,956

114,542

Long-term interest-bearing debts

55,472

55,339

Property, plant and equipment

75,549

83,204

Total liabilities

102,888

113,253

Intangible assets

11,737

11,253

Net assets

93,058

100,533

Investments and other assets

18,670

20,084

Retained earnings

71,809

80,816

Total assets

195,946

213,786

Total liabilities and net assets

195,946

213,786

*Unit: Million yen

 

Total assets increased by 17.8 billion yen to 213.7 billion yen thanks to the increase in property, plant and equipment, etc. associated with the M&A of Sagami Group Holdings Co., Ltd., etc. Total liabilities increased by 10.3 billion yen to 113.2 billion yen due to the increase in short-term loans payable, etc. Net assets increased by 7.4 billion yen to 100.5 billion yen due to the increase in retained earnings and such. As a result, capital-to-asset ratio decreased by 0.4 points from the end of the previous term to 46.7%.

 

◎Cash Flows

 

FY3/18

FY3/19

YOY

Operating CF

8,924

8,558

-366

Investing CF

-12,853

-12,724

+129

Free CF

-3,929

-4,166

-237

Financing CF

6,942

3,577

-3,365

Balance of cash equivalents

22,028

21,351

-677

*Unit: Million yen

 

The surplus of operating cash flow shrank as the loss on valuation of derivatives was converted to valuation gains, etc. Investing cash flow remained almost unchanged.
The surplus of financing CF shrank as there were no longer proceeds from issuance of bonds in the previous term. The cash position declined.

 

3.Fiscal Year March 2020 Earnings Estimates

(1)Full-year Earnings Estimates

 

FY 3/19

Ratio

to sales

FY 3/20

(Est.)

Ratio

to sales

YOY

Sales

177,648

100.0%

185,000

100.0%

+4.1%

Operating income

12,005

6.8%

14,000

7.6%

+16.6%

Ordinary income

15,309

8.6%

15,000

8.1%

-2.0%

Net income

10,343

5.8%

10,500

5.7%

+1.5%

*Unit: Million yen
*The estimated values are those announced by the Company. Net income is profit attributable to owners of parent.
Sales and profit are expected to increase
Sales are expected to be 185 billion yen, increased by 4.1% year on year and operating income is expected to be 14 billion yen, increased by 16.6% year on year.
Dividend is expected to be 16.00 yen/share, increased by 1.0 yen/share. The expected payout ratio is 14.8%.

 

(2)Trends of each segment

 

FY 3/19

Composition ratio

FY 3/20

(EST.)

Composition

ratio

YOY

Sales

 

 

 

 

 

General Mail Order Business

776.0

43.7%

735.3

39.7%

-5.3%

Specialty Mail Order Business

478.5

26.9%

503.0

27.2%

+5.1%

Retail Store Sales Business

281.5

15.8%

340.1

18.4%

+20.8%

Solution Business

62.6

3.5%

69.6

3.8%

+11.2%

Finance Business

38.3

2.2%

44.4

2.4%

+15.9%

Property Business

80.7

4.5%

104.4

5.6%

+29.3%

Other Business

69.1

3.9%

80.7

4.4%

+16.8%

Adjustments

-10.3

-

-27.5

-

-

Total

1,776.5

100.0%

1,850.0

100.0%

+4.1%

Operating income

 

 

 

 

 

General Mail Order Business

38.2

4.9%

29.0

3.9%

-24.1%

Specialty Mail Order Business

32.6

6.8%

36.7

7.3%

+12.6%

Retail Store Sales Business

10.0

3.6%

13.6

4.0%

+36.0%

Solution Business

22.7

36.3%

23.8

34.2%

+4.8%

Finance Business

17.6

45.9%

19.8

44.6%

+12.5%

Property Business

2.4

3.0%

15.2

14.6%

+533.3%

Other Business

2.4

3.4%

4.5

5.6%

+87.5%

Adjustments

-5.9

-

-2.4

-

-

Total

120.1

6.8%

140.0

7.6%

+16.6%

*Unit: 100 million yen
*The composition ratio of income means the ratio of income to sales.

 

Sales are expected to increase in all segments, except for the General Mail Order business.
Profit is expected to decrease for the General Mail Order business due to catalog paper costs, however, profit is expected to increase in all other segments, particularly, the Specialty Mail Order, Retail Store Sales, and the Property business.

 

 

4.Review on the third management plan

Regarding the third management plan finished in the term ended in March 2019, the company self-evaluates itself as below.

 

(1)Numerical goal

 

Final FY Target

Achievement

Sales

160 Billion Yen(CAGR +6.9%)

177.6 Billion Yen(CAGR +10.5%)

Achieved

Operating income

16 Billion Yen(CAGR +20.6%)

12 Billion Yen(CAGR +12.8%)

Unachieved

ROE

More than 8%

10.9%

Achieved

 

Sales and ROE has been achieved one year ahead while operating income was not achieved.

 

(2)About the four main businesses

①Stable growth of the General Mail Order business
Despite the unexpected changes to the external environment such as the increase in shipping costs, the company has proactively taken steps to strengthen the network, resulting both sales and profit grew.

 

②Expanding the Specialty Mail Order business
The measures for developing products, strengthening the network, etc. particularly for the gourmet business, the wine business, the cosmetics mail-ordering business, and the mail-order business targeting nurses were successful, and the Specialty Mail Order business experienced substantial growth.

 

③Expanding the Retail Store Sales by opening new stores
The number of stores of the Japanese clothing business, BANKAN Wamonoya has expanded to 86 and the company acquired Sagami Group Holdings Co., Ltd. through M&A.
The apparel stores business restored profitability and increased the number of stores to 75.

 

④Strengthening the Property business
The company managed to lay the groundwork for the fourth management plan because the leasing business expanded the number of hotels to 7 and achieved stable profit increase.

 

 

5.The fourth management plan: Management policy and activities

The company plans to implement measures for each business according to the current business environment described below.

 

(1)The management environment

The company will set a management policy that is able to flexibly respond to changes in the external environment such as the prevailing deflation mindset, the advance of the Internet, the increase of delivery service ("takkyubin") and shipping costs, by changing the internal environment such as “expansion of single item sales including Ozio, Nursery, and wine,” “developing each portfolios,” and “recovery of the hotel business.”

 

(2)The fourth management plan

①Positioning
After achieving record-high sales and profit in the third management plan, in the fourth management plan, the company will incorporate changes in the external environment and lay the groundwork to achieve its goals.
The company will aim for revising upwardly estimates, while steadily achieving its sales and profit goals.

 

②Numerical goal

 

Final FY target

Sales

220billion yen(CAGR +7.4%)

Operating income

20 billion yen(CAGR +18.5%)

ROE

Ensure more than 10%

 

(3)Measures for the four main businesses

The company will work towards expanding and strengthening its 4 main businesses through “the stable growth of General Mail Order business,” “expansion of the Specialty Mail Order business,” “expansion and profitability improvements of the Retail Store Sales business,” and “reinforcement of the Property business, particularly the profitable hotels.”

 

①Stable growth of the General Mail Order business
Sales and profit decreased due to the increase in delivery, shipping, and paper costs causing the company to hit a plateau this term, however, from the next term onwards, the company will overcome challenges of the external environment and achieve growth.
◎Expansion of catalog retail
The company aims to achieve sales of 100 billion yen in the fourth and fifth management plans, by working towards “providing products for a wide range of customers from people in their 20s to 70s,” “strengthening the men’s underwear business,” and “developing products that reflect the characteristics of Belluna.”

 

◎Upgrading of online shops
The company will work on creating a winning strategy specialized for businesses aimed at women and young generaion.
Regarding the “Belluna website for Mrs,” the company set the goals of increasing online-shop-limited products, expanding the mainstay products, strengthening featured contents specialized in Mrs, and stopping depending on sales.
As for the “Ryu-Ryu mall” targeting at young customers, the company will focus on increasing the number of opened shops (expanding products' tastes and product numbers) and strengthening their product selection capabilities as well as their ability to make proposals of their recommendations to customers.
The “RyuRyu mall”, a fashion EC mall, targeting young customers opened in June 2019.
The concept behind it is to develop a plethora of sizes aimed at young customers in their 20s to 30s and take advantage of the company’s experience in developing products including abilities of selection and recommendation to customers.
Starting with 40 shops, the company aims to expand the number of shops to 70 by the end of the term ending March 2020.
It aims to achieve a product handling volume of 10 billion yen.

 

◎Synergetic effects among catalogs, the Internet, and shops
The synergistic effects due to collecting and utilizing a list of users will increase response in the mail-order business, improve CVR in the online business, and enhance sales at physical stores.
Additionally, there is a merit in being able to offset the burden of expenses for effective TV commercials through sales growth.

 

②Expansion of the Specialty Mail Order business
By polishing their products development capabilities and increasing EC ratio, the company can achieve both profitability and growth. Moreover, they will proactively proceed with overseas expansion for building a new profitability pillar and achieving the objectives earlier than expected.

 

◎Cosmetic mail-order “Ozio”
By continuously developing and nurturing hit products, which would become pillars for the domestic market, a high level of growth and profitability can be maintained.
In the overseas market, Ozio Taiwan achieved full-year profitability. The company is considering expansion of business from Taiwan to all countries in Asia.

 

③Expansion of the Retail Store business and improving profitability
◎Japanese clothing stores
The company aims to achieve overwhelming sales and profit to be No.1 in Japan by demonstrating the synergetic effects of BANKAN Wamonoya and the Sagami Group.

 

◎BANKAN Wamonoya
In the fourth management plan, the company aims to achieve growth and profitability and become No.1 in the Japanese clothing industry by utilizing its ability to cultivate new markets.

 

◎Sagami Group Holdings Co., Ltd.
The company will take the following measures to restore profitability and growth:

 

-Perception reforms: fostering a sense of ownership, positive thinking, game style, desire for growth, and profit awareness.
-Measures to acquire new customers: the company will work on educating customers, increasing in Yukata sales, offering Komon (fine patterns) or solid color fabrics, proposing Kimono as casual wear, etc.
-Aiming for reviving the kimono culture.
◎Apparel shops
The company will shift to pursuing growth steadily. It will reduce the speed of opening new shops down by 15 to 20 annually.

 

④Strengthening the Property business with a focus on profitable hotels
The company will acquire stable profit in the domestic leasing business led by the performance of the promising hotel business

 

Below are the hotel opening achievements and plans
(Hotel opening achievements)

Region

Facility name

No. of rooms

Hours of operation

Okinawa

Hotel Hamahigajima Resort

29

May 2013

Fukushima

Urabandai Lake Resort

324

October 2015

Nagano

Le Grand Kyu Karuizawa Hotel

43

July 2016

Kyoto

Kyoto Granbell Hotel

105

July 2017

Nagano

Le Grand Karuizawa Hotel & Resort

58

July 2018

Sri Lanka

Le Grand Galle Hotel

57

July 2018

Maldives

The Westin Maldives Miriandhoo Hotel &Resort

70

October 2018

 

(To be opened)

Region

Facility name (tentative)

No. of rooms

Hours of operation

Osaka

Osaka East Umeda Hotel

117

June 2020(est.)

Sri Lanka

Granbell Hotel Colombo

292

September 2020(est.)

Osaka

Osaka Honchou Hotel

194

January 2021(est.)

Hokkaido

Sapporo Hotel

236

January 2021(est.)

Hokkaido

Sapporo Susukino Hotel

300

May 2021(est.)

 

There are no new openings this term, but the company plans to open 4 hotels in FY 3/2021, 1 hotel in FY 3/2022, all of which are accommodation-specialized types.

 

(4)Numerical goals by segment

 

FY3/19

FY3/20

FY3/21

FY3/22

CAGR

Sales

 

 

 

 

 

General Mail Order Business

776.0

735.3

753.8

811.1

+1.5%

Specialty Mail Order Business

478.5

503.0

533.5

603.5

+8.0%

Retail Store Sales Business

281.5

340.1

365.3

410.8

+13.4%

Solution Business

62.6

69.6

73.6

82.2

+9.5%

Finance Business

38.3

44.3

49.9

56.8

+14.0%

Property Business

80.7

104.4

159.0

181.0

+30.9%

Other Business and Adjustments

58.8

53.3

65.0

54.6

-2.4%

Total

1776.5

1,850.0

2,000.0

2,200.0

+7.4%

Operating income

 

 

 

 

 

General Mail Order Business

38.2

29.0

38.1

47.8

+7.8%

Specialty Mail Order Business

32.6

36.7

41.7

51.4

+16.4%

Retail Store Sales Business

10.0

13.6

17.8

25.1

+35.9%

Solution Business

22.7

23.8

28.7

31.4

+11.4%

Finance Business

17.6

19.8

21.9

26.3

+14.3%

Property Business

2.4

15.2

24.0

31.3

+135.4%

Other Business and Adjustments

-3.4

2.0

-2.2

-13.2

-

Total

120.1

140.0

170.0

200.0

+18.5%

*Unit: 100 million yen and %. CAGR(compound average growth rate) are values starting from FY3/19 March to FY3/22 March.

6.Conclusions

Looking at the results of only the term ended March 2019, the sales and profit of the General Mail Order business decreased due to the change in the external environment such as the increase in shipping costs, and the company did not achieve the target sales or operating income. However, looking at the last 3 years of the third management plan, the company has been steadily showing results such as achieving the target sales and ROE 1 year ahead, strengthening the network of General Mail Order business, and rapidly growing the Specialty Mail Order. In the fourth management plan, we would like to pay attention to how the company implements business policies while conditions are against the core General Mail Order business, and the progress of expanding the Specialty Mail Order business overseas, which is expected to outperform the General Mail Order business in profit and become the cash cow for the company.

 

 

 

<Reference: Regarding corporate governance>

◎Organization type, and the composition of directors and auditors

Organization type

Company with audit and supervisory committee

Directors

9 directors, including 2 external ones

 

◎Corporate Governance Report
Last Update: December 20, 2018.

 

<Basic policy>
Our basic policy for corporate governance is to streamline business operation by allowing operating officers to have the authority and responsibility for their businesses under the policy determined by the board of directors, and establish compliance systems and effective management systems by enhancing the fairness and transparency of business administration. In addition, we organized a compliance committee inviting outside intellectuals, granting it authority, so that a third party’s viewpoint would be reflected in management decisions.

 

<Disclosure Based on the Principles of the Corporate Governance Code (Excerpts)>

Principles

Reasons for not implementing the principles

<Supplementary Principle 1-2-(4)>

Taking shareholder composition into account, we post English convocation notices on our website to make it easier for shareholders to examine items on the agenda, whether they are from Japan or overseas. We will consider using an electronic voting platform in the future.

<Supplementary Principle 4-10-(1)>

We currently have two independent outside directors. The independent outside directors express their opinions and provide advice as necessary to both individual directors and the Board of Directors, utilizing their specialized knowledge and extensive experience. From now on, we will consider setting up a voluntary organization whose main members consist of independent outside directors if necessary.

<Supplementary Principle 4-11-(3)>

As for the analysis and evaluation of the effectiveness of the board of directors, we will keep discussing concrete evaluation methods, etc. from the viewpoint of upgrading the functions of the board of directors.

 

 

<Disclosure Based on the Principles of the Corporate Governance Code (Excerpts)>
We disclose the compliance with each principle of the corporate governance code under “Our Efforts Towards the Corporate Governance Code” at the following company website (corporate governance).

 

Principles

Disclosure contents

【Principle 1-4】

In order to foster good business relations with business partners and carry out business smoothly, we may hold their shares as requested by them. We judge whether or not to invest while comprehensively considering the benefits to our corporate group due to the strengthening of business relations, investment amounts, etc. As for the exercise of voting rights, we check whether proposed bills would degrade shareholder value, and consider the situations of target companies for investment, etc.

【Basic principle 5】

 

 

 

 

 

In order to contribute to sustainable growth and the mid/long-term improvement of corporate value, we recognize that we should have constructive dialogues with shareholders also outside general meetings of shareholders and explain our management policy to shareholders clearly and understandably, to win the understanding of shareholders. Therefore, we strive to proactively have dialogues with investors by developing IR systems and holding individual IR meetings and sessions for briefing our company to individual investors in addition to the results briefing session held twice a year, so that they will understand our company more deeply.

 

 

This report is intended solely for information purposes, and is not intended as a solicitation to invest in the shares of this company. The information and opinions contained within this report are based on data made publicly available by the Company, and comes from sources that we judge to be reliable. However, we cannot guarantee the accuracy or completeness of the data. This report is not a guarantee of the accuracy, completeness or validity of said information and or opinions, nor do we bear any responsibility for the same. All rights pertaining to this report belong to Investment Bridge Co., Ltd., which may change the contents thereof at any time without prior notice. All investment decisions are the responsibility of the individual and should be made only after proper consideration.

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